Dr. Wolfram Lacher

• Wolfram Lacher

Where Have All the Jihadists Gone?

• German

The Rise and Mysterious Fall of Militant Islamist Movements in Libya

doi:10.18449/2024RP10

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• Download (Kindle/Mobi) | 1.1 MB

• Wolfram Lacher

Libya’s Militias Have Become the State

• German

Dimensions and consequences of a consolidation process

doi:10.18449/2023C44

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• Wolfram Lacher

Chad’s Crisis-Prone Transition

• German

Dynastic consolidation and its risks

doi:10.18449/2022C67

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• Wolfram Lacher

Macron as a Spoiler in Libya

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• Wolfram Lacher

Libya’s Flawed Unity Government

• German

A Semblance of Compromise Obscures Old and New Rifts

doi:10.18449/2021C29

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• Wolfram Lacher

A Most Irregular Army

The Rise of Khalifa Haftar’s Libyan Arab Armed Forces

doi:10.18449/2020WP12

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• Wolfram Lacher

No Pillar of Stability: Mauritania’s Trajectory and the Pitfalls of European Cooperation

Mauritania’s importance as a partner for Europe is growing. Increased resources and foreign support could either help the ruling elite to consolidate power or worsen social fragilities. European migration and security policies risk adding to tensions.

doi:10.18449/2025MTA-PB38

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• Wolfram Lacher
• Isabelle Werenfels

Mauritania’s Balancing Act amid Intensifying Algerian-Moroccan Rivalry

Algeria and Morocco are increasingly jostling for Mauritania’s favour. Observers watch for any sign that Mauritania might abandon its neutral stance. The rivalry plays out as much through propaganda as it does in reality – with potentially destabilising effects.

• Gerrit Kurtz
• Wolfram Lacher

Megatrends Afrika: Drone warfare and the balance of military power in Africa

Advanced combat drones are increasingly used in conflicts in Africa. Countries like Iran, Turkey and the UAE provide these weapons. Gerrit Kurtz and Wolfram Lacher explain how drone usage has the potential to shift the balance of military power between state forces and insurgents.

• Gerrit Kurtz
• Wolfram Lacher
• Denis M. Tull

The Myth of the Gamechanger: Drones and Military Power in Africa

Advanced combat drones are increasingly used in conflicts in Africa. This analysis of the conflicts in Mali, Chad and Sudan shows, their potential to shift the balance of military power between state forces and insurgents depends on symmetrical access to technology, type of warfare and topography.

doi:10.18449/2025MTA-PB33

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• Wolfram Lacher

Invisible Occupation: Turkey and Russia in Libya

• German

Western governments have castigated Russia and Turkey for destabilizing Libya with their military deployments. But in daily life, their military presence is hardly noticeable – even in the immediate vicinity of their bases. In this Megatrends Afrika Spotlight, Wolfram Lacher (SWP) argues that both states have adopted a low profile in order to stay in Libya for the long term – and so far, their approach appears to be working.

• Wolfram Lacher

Chad Navigates Multipolar Disorder

Deby is seizing the multipolar disorder as an opportunity to consolidate his power. By capitalizing on Chad's status as one of the region’s last remaining partners of Western states, Deby has relied on French military presence as the ultimate deterrent against his overthrow by force. However, cooperation with the UAE in channelling military assistance to the RSF in Sudan, poses serious domestic and external risks.

doi:10.18449/2023MTA-PB19

• Download (PDF) | 275 KB