Megatrends and Conflict Dynamics in Africa: Multipolarity and Delegation in Foreign Interventions

Megatrends such as climate change, digitalisation, and urbanisation are transforming all aspects of politics, economics and society in Africa. Consequently, they are also affecting conflict dynamics. This Working Paper focuses specifically on how megatrends are altering patterns of foreign intervention in African conflicts. Two aspects stand out: the range of intervening powers is widening, and they are intervening increasingly at arm’s length by delegating to human or technical surrogates.

Megatrends Working Paper 2022 02, 21.12.2022, 15 Seiten

doi:10.18449/2022MTA-WP02
- Zum Volltext (PDF) | 462 KB
- Wolfram Lacher
African Conflicts amid Multipolarity: Implications of a Changing Actor Landscape

The range of external actors intervening in internal conflicts on the African continent has undergone a noticeable change. Three states in particular are intervening in a growing number of African conflicts: the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Turkey, and Russia. Their expanding footprint shows that the multipolar disorder that has characterised wars in the Middle East now also affects much of Africa.

Megatrends Policy Brief 03, 27.04.2022, 9 Seiten

doi:10.18449/2022MTA-PB03
- Zum Volltext (PDF) | 448 KB

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Externe Veröffentlichungen

- Wolfram Lacher
How Libya’s Central Bank Chief Survived a Decade of Conflict

According to Siddiq Kabir, he is the last pillar holding the country together. His adversaries claim he is perpetuating a national crisis

in: New Lines Magazine, 06.03.2023 (online)
- Wolfram Lacher
Libya’s New Order

in: Sidecar, the New Left Review blog, 26.01.2023 (online)
- Wolfram Lacher
How does civil war begin? The role of escalatory processes

in: Violence: An International Journal, 3 (2022) 2, pp. 139-161

doi:10.1177/26330024221130364
- Wolfram Lacher
Libya’s Escalating Power Struggle

Competition between two rival administrations is again fueling tensions in Tripoli – and foreign powers are looking on

in: New Lines Magazine, 20.06.2022 (online)
- Wolfram Lacher
Social Cleavages and Armed Group Consolidation

The Case of Khalifa Haftar’s Libyan Arab Armed Forces

in: Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 20.12.2021 (online first).

doi:10.1080/1057610X.2021.2013757
- Wolfram Lacher
Drones, Deniability, and Disinformation

Warfare in Libya and the New International Disorder

in: War on the Rocks, 03.03.2020 (online)

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Buchbesprechungen

Ausgewählte Rezensionen zu:

Wolfram Lacher
Libya’s Fragmentation
Structure and Process in Violent Conflict
I.B. Tauris, London 2020, 304 S., ISBN 978-0-755-60081-6

»Lacher makes a significant contribution to scholarship on contemporary events in Libya and to conflict studies more broadly.« – Tim Eaton, in: The Cairo Review of Global Affairs, Sommer 2020, Libya’s Fragmentation: Novel ways to understand why the Libyan revolution occurred and moves toward its resolution – Book Reviews – The Cairo Review of Global Affairs

»An indispensable work for anyone interested in Libya and North Africa, as well as in armed conflicts more generally« – Judith Scheele, in: Politique Africaine 160 (2020), Libya’s Fragmentation: Structure and Process in Violent Conflict – Revues des Livres – Polaf n° 160

»A remarkable combination of fieldwork and theory, Libya’s Fragmentation is highly recommended for diplomats, journalists, and scholars.« – Ronald Bruce St John, in: The Middle East Journal, Herbst 2020, Libya’s Fragmentation: Structure and Process in Violent Conflict by Wolfram Lacher – Review – The Middle East Journal

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