Geopolitical Tensions and EU-Southern Mediterranean Shipping
Megatrends Working Paper 22, 18.02.2026, 23 Seitendoi:10.18449/2026MTA-WP22
Geopolitical tensions such as political instability, trade disputes, and sanctions reduce maritime connectivity and efficiency. Enock Kojo Ayesu quantifies this impact using the gravity model of trade for routes between EU and Southern Mediterranean countries.

Ship sails through the Suez Canal as commercial vessel traffic continues along the key global maritime route in Ismailia, Egypt, on November 25, 2025.
© picture alliance / Anadolu | Fareed Kotb